Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 4.369627 4.847117 5.357462 5.943968 6.599971 7.311767 8.143498
2026-01-25 3.541726 4.183185 4.915974 5.816975 6.897682 8.155590 9.735617
2026-02-01 2.960268 3.685512 4.561823 5.703025 7.156412 8.954069 11.359296
2026-02-08 2.531057 3.296683 4.267534 5.596455 7.379904 9.706963 13.000126
2026-02-15 2.224398 3.014194 4.059107 5.553918 7.655812 10.533104 14.816693
2026-02-22 2.036015 2.859418 3.991530 5.677613 8.152194 11.693024 17.218951
2026-03-01 1.836078 2.661592 3.836040 5.649167 8.414433 12.532460 19.240318
2026-03-08 1.631927 2.433196 3.608375 5.481957 8.439936 13.006970 20.741657
2026-03-15 1.488826 2.279058 3.471590 5.431330 8.628167 13.736324 22.715416
2026-03-22 1.406561 2.208538 3.452647 5.558213 9.104227 14.964064 25.648947
2026-03-29 1.334386 2.145852 3.437821 5.686108 9.588903 16.248463 28.825772
2026-04-05 1.247920 2.051268 3.361239 5.700182 9.875876 17.216810 31.543846
2026-04-12 1.153392 1.936822 3.244470 5.638815 10.033041 17.989062 34.030829
2026-04-19 1.063856 1.823131 3.118946 5.549451 10.129735 18.661208 36.414199
2026-04-26 0.983175 1.717827 2.998527 5.456776 10.208849 19.305994 38.823661
2026-05-03 0.910627 1.620741 2.884037 5.363128 10.274318 19.927766 41.261704
2026-05-10 0.853292 1.546384 2.804143 5.326616 10.445844 20.774586 44.282495
2026-05-17 0.821947 1.517401 2.805435 5.447075 10.943442 22.337391 49.075822
2026-05-24 0.774759 1.454467 2.736846 5.421002 11.134378 23.275562 52.581400
2026-05-31 0.716007 1.364605 2.608860 5.261596 11.025751 23.554086 54.581665
2026-06-07 0.674935 1.306178 2.537836 5.213444 11.151133 24.358300 57.943464
2026-06-14 0.655076 1.288455 2.546675 5.335021 11.663445 26.091687 63.837932
2026-06-21 0.636411 1.271626 2.555759 5.457490 12.189747 27.915749 70.225122